Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.144905 0.168193 0.194060 0.224927 0.260777 0.301122 0.350004
2025-04-20 0.111702 0.143668 0.182981 0.234930 0.301869 0.385356 0.497623
2025-04-27 0.093715 0.129351 0.176361 0.243014 0.335295 0.458885 0.637572
2025-05-04 0.081220 0.118735 0.171130 0.249811 0.365333 0.529333 0.780966
2025-05-11 0.070567 0.108403 0.163915 0.251520 0.386852 0.588924 0.915398
2025-05-18 0.061281 0.098385 0.155266 0.249100 0.400787 0.637738 1.038678
2025-05-25 0.052711 0.088082 0.144512 0.241428 0.404705 0.670465 1.139522
2025-06-01 0.048333 0.083840 0.142629 0.247472 0.431053 0.741582 1.311744
2025-06-08 0.043709 0.078498 0.138125 0.248256 0.448167 0.798675 1.466449
2025-06-15 0.040326 0.074835 0.135943 0.252613 0.471730 0.869185 1.653364
2025-06-22 0.035993 0.068878 0.128923 0.247187 0.476520 0.906012 1.781786
2025-06-29 0.032604 0.064249 0.123742 0.244457 0.485816 0.951855 1.932620
2025-07-06 0.029880 0.060644 0.120202 0.244725 0.501487 1.012778 2.123588
2025-07-13 0.028600 0.059760 0.121860 0.255595 0.539889 1.123526 2.432153
2025-07-20 0.027211 0.058465 0.122508 0.264400 0.574986 1.231550 2.749035
2025-07-27 0.025810 0.056960 0.122522 0.271803 0.607909 1.338763 3.078145
2025-08-03 0.024056 0.054471 0.120147 0.273665 0.628791 1.422232 3.364492
2025-08-10 0.022120 0.051339 0.116007 0.271029 0.639102 1.483229 3.606415
2025-08-17 0.019963 0.047444 0.109721 0.262673 0.635037 1.510721 3.771577
2025-08-24 0.019061 0.046381 0.109768 0.269255 0.667345 1.627284 4.171184
2025-08-31 0.017858 0.044451 0.107566 0.270109 0.685711 1.712395 4.502579
2025-09-07 0.016994 0.043252 0.106970 0.274855 0.714370 1.826186 4.923406
2025-09-14 0.015598 0.040550 0.102397 0.268945 0.714915 1.868947 5.160835